Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +10.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Pavelski on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Pavelski wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Dzingel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pavelski 52.2% vs Dzingel 45.5% (+10.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pavelski 95.1%
Defensive zone
Pavelski 83.7%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 92.0%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 87.6%
87.6%
12.4%
Pavelski
Dzingel
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Pavelski
Dzingel
Last 5: Pavelski 5-0 Dzingel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
1
0
Pavelski
Dzingel
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
3
0
Pavelski
Dzingel
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pavelski
1
0
Pavelski
Dzingel
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pavelski
Dzingel
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (570)
43.4% (143)
+9.1%
Power Play
54.5% (145)
42.9% (7)
+11.6%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (36)
0.0% (3)
+44.4%
On penalty kill, Pavelski has a +44.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dzingel shoots left. Pavelski is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (588).
Pavelski shoots right. Dzingel is 29.2% vs right-shot opponents (48).
Home / Away
Pavelski
Dzingel
Home
55.0% (391)
43.4% (99)
Away
49.7% (360)
40.7% (54)
By Period
Pavelski
Dzingel
P1
50.8%
48.1%
P2
55.0%
41.5%
P3
52.0%
37.5%
Final 5 min
56.2%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
52.5%
Dzingel
38.0%▼
40.0%
42.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2021 | 3 | 18:11 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Dec 6, 2021 | 3 | 03:46 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Nov 27, 2021 | 3 | 18:27 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Nov 27, 2021 | 2 | 12:16 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Nov 27, 2021 | 1 | 00:54 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |