Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +14.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Pavelski on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Pavelski wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Dzingel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pavelski 54.1% vs Dzingel 42.0% (+14.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pavelski 91.9%
Defensive zone
Pavelski 95.6%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 94.7%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 94.2%
94.2%
5.8%
Pavelski
Dzingel
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
Pavelski
Dzingel
Last 9: Pavelski 7-2 Dzingel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dzingel
1
2
Pavelski
Dzingel
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
4
0
Pavelski
Dzingel
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pavelski
2
0
Pavelski
Dzingel
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pavelski
Dzingel
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (8,791)
39.8% (337)
+13.8%
Power Play
58.2% (2,122)
44.7% (38)
+13.5%
Penalty Kill
50.9% (1,138)
0.0% (4)
+50.9%
On penalty kill, Pavelski has a +50.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dzingel shoots left. Pavelski is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (9,103).
Pavelski shoots right. Dzingel is 37.2% vs right-shot opponents (137).
Home / Away
Pavelski
Dzingel
Home
56.4% (5,998)
47.1% (206)
Away
52.0% (6,076)
31.2% (173)
By Period
Pavelski
Dzingel
P1
53.5%
46.4%
P2
55.2%
36.4%
P3
53.9%
36.4%
OT
52.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
54.4%
42.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
54.2%
Dzingel
38.0%▼
40.0%
39.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2021 | 3 | 18:11 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Dec 6, 2021 | 3 | 03:46 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Nov 27, 2021 | 3 | 18:27 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Nov 27, 2021 | 2 | 12:16 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Nov 27, 2021 | 1 | 00:54 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 12, 2019 | 1 | 19:08 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 5, 2018 | 3 | 02:07 | Offensive | Ryan Dzingel |
| Jan 5, 2018 | 2 | 11:24 | Offensive | Ryan Dzingel |
| Jan 5, 2018 | 1 | 19:27 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |