Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Pavelski on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Pavelski wins 53.8% vs left-shot opponents — Bennett shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pavelski 53.3% vs Bennett 51.1% (+2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bennett 58.2%
Defensive zone
Pavelski 61.2%
Neutral zone
Bennett 51.9%
Result
Sam Bennett favored at 51.8%
48.2%
51.8%
Pavelski
Bennett
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Pavelski
Bennett
Last 7: Pavelski 3-4 Bennett
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
3
1
Pavelski
Bennett
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bennett
0
2
Pavelski
Bennett
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bennett
0
1
Pavelski
Bennett
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pavelski
Bennett
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (474)
53.6% (151)
+0.8%
Power Play
51.9% (104)
42.1% (19)
+9.8%
Penalty Kill
52.7% (74)
0.0% (2)
+52.7%
On penalty kill, Pavelski has a +52.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bennett shoots left. Pavelski is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (493).
Pavelski shoots right. Bennett is 49.2% vs right-shot opponents (65).
Home / Away
Pavelski
Bennett
Home
54.3% (313)
52.3% (86)
Away
53.4% (339)
51.2% (86)
By Period
Pavelski
Bennett
P1
51.0%
44.8%
P2
51.9%
50.8%
P3
58.1%
60.8%
Final 5 min
51.9%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
53.8%
Bennett
56.0%▲
51.0%
51.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 22, 2019 | 2 | 04:59 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 22, 2019 | 2 | 02:04 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Dec 22, 2019 | 2 | 01:57 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 22, 2019 | 1 | 13:01 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 22, 2019 | 1 | 12:49 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 22, 2019 | 1 | 10:22 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Oct 10, 2019 | 3 | 03:25 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |