Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Pavelski wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Bennett shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pavelski 52.2% vs Bennett 47.2% (+5.6%)
Offensive zone
Bennett 63.9%
Defensive zone
Bennett 54.7%
Neutral zone
Bennett 54.3%
Result
Sam Bennett favored at 57.6%
42.4%
57.6%
Pavelski
Bennett
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pavelski
Bennett
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (570)
45.5% (756)
+7.0%
Power Play
54.5% (145)
63.0% (92)
-8.5%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (36)
31.0% (29)
+13.4%
On penalty kill, Pavelski has a +13.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bennett shoots left. Pavelski is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (588).
Pavelski shoots right. Bennett is 45.4% vs right-shot opponents (313).
Home / Away
Pavelski
Bennett
Home
55.0% (391)
46.5% (456)
Away
49.7% (360)
47.3% (421)
By Period
Pavelski
Bennett
P1
50.8%
46.6%
P2
55.0%
50.5%
P3
52.0%
43.5%
OT
25.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
56.2%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
52.5%
Bennett
56.0%▲
51.0%
46.9%