Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Pavelski on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Pavelski wins 54.6% vs left-shot opponents — Laughton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pavelski 55.5% vs Laughton 48.0% (+8.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pavelski 76.0%
Defensive zone
Pavelski 77.7%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 68.3%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 72.9%
72.9%
27.1%
Pavelski
Laughton
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Pavelski
Laughton
Last 7: Pavelski 4-3 Laughton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
3
0
Pavelski
Laughton
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
1
0
Pavelski
Laughton
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Laughton
0
3
Pavelski
Laughton
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pavelski
Laughton
Edge
Even Strength
55.0% (785)
48.5% (266)
+6.5%
Power Play
62.7% (201)
25.0% (4)
+37.7%
Penalty Kill
52.2% (161)
30.8% (13)
+21.4%
On power play, Pavelski has a +37.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Laughton shoots left. Pavelski is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (826).
Pavelski shoots right. Laughton is 42.3% vs right-shot opponents (104).
Home / Away
Pavelski
Laughton
Home
58.1% (580)
47.1% (119)
Away
53.8% (567)
47.6% (164)
By Period
Pavelski
Laughton
P1
53.4%
43.4%
P2
58.6%
56.4%
P3
56.4%
42.7%
OT
36.8%
0.0%
Final 5 min
57.4%
45.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
56.0%
Laughton
50.0%▼
53.5%
47.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 2, 2014 | 3 | 11:25 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Dec 2, 2014 | 3 | 10:35 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Dec 2, 2014 | 2 | 14:44 | Neutral | Scott Laughton |
| Dec 2, 2014 | 2 | 05:24 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Dec 2, 2014 | 2 | 01:57 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Dec 2, 2014 | 1 | 17:24 | Neutral | Scott Laughton |
| Dec 2, 2014 | 1 | 12:00 | Neutral | Scott Laughton |