Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pavelski 50.9% vs Laughton 49.0% (+2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pavelski 53.6%
Defensive zone
Laughton 58.1%
Neutral zone
Laughton 52.6%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 51.5%
51.5%
48.5%
Pavelski
Laughton
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Pavelski
Laughton
Last 6: Pavelski 3-3 Laughton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Pavelski
Laughton
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Pavelski
Laughton
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pavelski
Laughton
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (594)
49.1% (761)
+2.4%
Power Play
51.7% (87)
49.3% (69)
+2.4%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (14)
47.6% (147)
-19.0%
On penalty kill, Laughton has a +19.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Laughton shoots left. Pavelski is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (527).
Pavelski shoots right. Laughton is 47.7% vs right-shot opponents (331).
Home / Away
Pavelski
Laughton
Home
53.1% (339)
50.7% (485)
Away
49.2% (356)
47.2% (492)
By Period
Pavelski
Laughton
P1
53.8%
46.5%
P2
47.8%
51.1%
P3
50.2%
49.5%
OT
71.4%
35.7%
Final 5 min
48.6%
47.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
51.1%
Laughton
50.0%▼
53.5%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2024 | 2 | 17:07 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 18, 2024 | 2 | 01:25 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 18, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Scott Laughton |
| Jan 18, 2024 | 1 | 07:45 | Offensive | Scott Laughton |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 2 | 15:42 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 1 | 09:06 | Offensive | Scott Laughton |