Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Pavelski on offensive-zone draws (57% H2H, 14 meetings). Pavelski wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Laughton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pavelski 54.1% vs Laughton 50.4% (+3.8%)
H2H factor
Pavelski leads 18-13 in 31 meetings
Offensive zone
Pavelski 89.2%
Defensive zone
Pavelski 62.3%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 76.3%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 79.4%
79.4%
20.6%
Pavelski
Laughton
Head-to-Head Record
18
-
13
(31 meetings)
18
13
Pavelski
Laughton
Last 10: Pavelski 5-5 Laughton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
8
6
Pavelski
Laughton
14 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
4
2
Pavelski
Laughton
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pavelski
6
5
Pavelski
Laughton
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pavelski
Laughton
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (8,791)
50.9% (5,383)
+2.7%
Power Play
58.2% (2,122)
52.6% (327)
+5.6%
Penalty Kill
50.9% (1,138)
46.6% (887)
+4.3%
On power play, Pavelski has a +5.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Laughton shoots left. Pavelski is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (9,103).
Pavelski shoots right. Laughton is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (2,268).
Home / Away
Pavelski
Laughton
Home
56.4% (5,998)
51.2% (3,255)
Away
52.0% (6,076)
49.6% (3,342)
By Period
Pavelski
Laughton
P1
53.5%
49.2%
P2
55.2%
52.9%
P3
53.9%
49.1%
OT
52.3%
39.6%
Final 5 min
54.4%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
54.2%
Laughton
56.0%▬
56.0%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2024 | 2 | 17:07 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 18, 2024 | 2 | 01:25 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 18, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Scott Laughton |
| Jan 18, 2024 | 1 | 07:45 | Offensive | Scott Laughton |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 2 | 15:42 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 1 | 09:06 | Offensive | Scott Laughton |
| Nov 13, 2022 | 1 | 12:55 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Nov 13, 2022 | 1 | 00:47 | Offensive | Scott Laughton |
| Jan 24, 2022 | 3 | 08:44 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 24, 2022 | 3 | 03:47 | Offensive | Scott Laughton |
| Jan 24, 2022 | 3 | 02:08 | Defensive | Scott Laughton |
| Jan 24, 2022 | 3 | 02:01 | Defensive | Scott Laughton |
| Jan 24, 2022 | 2 | 00:06 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 24, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Nov 13, 2021 | 3 | 16:00 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Nov 13, 2021 | 3 | 08:07 | Neutral | Scott Laughton |
| Nov 13, 2021 | 3 | 02:19 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Nov 13, 2021 | 3 | 02:11 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Nov 13, 2021 | 2 | 14:14 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Nov 13, 2021 | 1 | 00:47 | Offensive | Scott Laughton |