Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Pavelski wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pavelski 52.2% vs Couturier 54.5% (-3.1%)
Offensive zone
Pavelski 66.7%
Defensive zone
Couturier 69.9%
Neutral zone
Couturier 55.0%
Result
Sean Couturier favored at 52.8%
47.2%
52.8%
Pavelski
Couturier
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pavelski
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (570)
57.4% (303)
-4.9%
Power Play
54.5% (145)
65.5% (55)
-11.0%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (36)
40.0% (70)
+4.4%
On power play, Couturier has a +11.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Pavelski is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (588).
Pavelski shoots right. Couturier is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (160).
Home / Away
Pavelski
Couturier
Home
55.0% (391)
54.3% (219)
Away
49.7% (360)
56.9% (209)
By Period
Pavelski
Couturier
P1
50.8%
53.2%
P2
55.0%
54.8%
P3
52.0%
57.9%
OT
25.0%
71.4%
Final 5 min
56.2%
57.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
52.5%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
55.6%