Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pavelski 53.0% vs Monahan 53.9% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pavelski 51.3%
Defensive zone
Pavelski 50.2%
Neutral zone
Monahan 54.8%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 53.1%
46.9%
53.1%
Pavelski
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Pavelski
Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
1
Pavelski
Monahan
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Pavelski
Monahan
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pavelski
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (560)
54.5% (231)
-2.2%
Power Play
57.5% (113)
58.2% (67)
-0.7%
Penalty Kill
62.5% (16)
52.2% (23)
+10.3%
On penalty kill, Pavelski has a +10.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Pavelski is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (513).
Pavelski shoots right. Monahan is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (105).
Home / Away
Pavelski
Monahan
Home
54.2% (360)
53.5% (144)
Away
52.6% (329)
56.5% (177)
By Period
Pavelski
Monahan
P1
54.5%
52.5%
P2
56.7%
50.9%
P3
50.8%
60.8%
OT
30.8%
100.0%
Final 5 min
51.4%
52.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
53.4%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
55.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2022 | 3 | 03:14 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 2 | 00:18 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |