Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +19.2% FO% edge overall. Pavelski wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Dries shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pavelski 52.2% vs Dries 47.1% (+19.2%)
Offensive zone
Pavelski 51.6%
Defensive zone
Pavelski 61.3%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 54.0%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 55.7%
55.7%
44.3%
Pavelski
Dries
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pavelski
Dries
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (570)
35.3% (17)
+17.2%
Power Play
54.5% (145)
25.0% (4)
+29.5%
On power play, Pavelski has a +29.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dries shoots left. Pavelski is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (588).
Pavelski shoots right. Dries is 60.0% vs right-shot opponents (5).
Home / Away
Pavelski
Dries
Home
55.0% (391)
26.3% (19)
Away
49.7% (360)
100.0% (2)
By Period
Pavelski
Dries
P1
50.8%
14.3%
P2
55.0%
57.1%
P3
52.0%
28.6%
Final 5 min
56.2%
25.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
52.5%
Dries
40.0%▼
49.0%
33.3%