Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Pavelski wins 57.4% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pavelski 53.0% vs Seguin 54.2% (-1.3%)
Offensive zone
Pavelski 56.2%
Defensive zone
Seguin 56.1%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 50.2%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 50.1%
50.1%
49.9%
Pavelski
Seguin
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pavelski
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (560)
55.0% (713)
-2.7%
Power Play
57.5% (113)
56.7% (104)
+0.8%
Penalty Kill
62.5% (16)
47.2% (53)
+15.3%
On penalty kill, Pavelski has a +15.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Pavelski is 57.4% vs right-shot opponents (176).
Pavelski shoots right. Seguin is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (274).
Home / Away
Pavelski
Seguin
Home
54.2% (360)
56.2% (443)
Away
52.6% (329)
53.2% (427)
By Period
Pavelski
Seguin
P1
54.5%
54.2%
P2
56.7%
52.9%
P3
50.8%
57.1%
OT
30.8%
60.0%
Final 5 min
51.4%
57.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
53.4%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
54.7%