Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Pavelski wins 53.0% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pavelski 50.9% vs Seguin 55.4% (-5.2%)
Offensive zone
Pavelski 54.2%
Defensive zone
Seguin 53.8%
Neutral zone
Seguin 53.6%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 51.1%
48.9%
51.1%
Pavelski
Seguin
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pavelski
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (594)
56.9% (478)
-5.4%
Power Play
51.7% (87)
57.4% (54)
-5.7%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (14)
51.3% (76)
-22.7%
On penalty kill, Seguin has a +22.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Pavelski is 53.0% vs right-shot opponents (168).
Pavelski shoots right. Seguin is 60.7% vs right-shot opponents (135).
Home / Away
Pavelski
Seguin
Home
53.1% (339)
57.4% (317)
Away
49.2% (356)
55.0% (291)
By Period
Pavelski
Seguin
P1
53.8%
50.3%
P2
47.8%
60.4%
P3
50.2%
58.0%
OT
71.4%
57.1%
Final 5 min
48.6%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
51.1%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
56.3%