Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +14.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pavelski 53.0% vs Jost 40.8% (+14.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pavelski 87.1%
Defensive zone
Pavelski 58.0%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 74.3%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 74.3%
74.3%
25.7%
Pavelski
Jost
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Pavelski
Jost
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pavelski
1
0
Pavelski
Jost
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pavelski
Jost
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (560)
41.8% (388)
+10.5%
Power Play
57.5% (113)
0.0% (3)
+57.5%
Penalty Kill
62.5% (16)
21.7% (60)
+40.8%
On power play, Pavelski has a +57.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jost shoots left. Pavelski is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (513).
Pavelski shoots right. Jost is 39.3% vs right-shot opponents (168).
Home / Away
Pavelski
Jost
Home
54.2% (360)
42.6% (230)
Away
52.6% (329)
34.8% (221)
By Period
Pavelski
Jost
P1
54.5%
43.2%
P2
56.7%
38.2%
P3
50.8%
34.6%
OT
30.8%
0.0%
Final 5 min
51.4%
40.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
53.4%
Jost
38.0%▼
41.5%
38.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2023 | 3 | 03:49 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |