Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +8.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pavelski 50.9% vs Jost 45.0% (+8.5%)
Offensive zone
Jost 50.1%
Defensive zone
Pavelski 50.7%
Neutral zone
Jost 51.0%
Result
Tyson Jost favored at 50.1%
49.9%
50.1%
Pavelski
Jost
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pavelski
Jost
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (594)
43.3% (194)
+8.2%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (14)
25.0% (8)
+3.6%
On even strength, Pavelski has a +8.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jost shoots left. Pavelski is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (527).
Pavelski shoots right. Jost is 39.7% vs right-shot opponents (73).
Home / Away
Pavelski
Jost
Home
53.1% (339)
39.7% (78)
Away
49.2% (356)
44.4% (124)
By Period
Pavelski
Jost
P1
53.8%
40.5%
P2
47.8%
43.2%
P3
50.2%
44.9%
Final 5 min
48.6%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
51.1%
Jost
38.0%▼
41.5%
42.6%