Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Pavelski on offensive-zone draws (63% H2H, 8 meetings). Pavelski wins 58.5% vs right-shot opponents — Trocheck shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pavelski 55.5% vs Trocheck 48.2% (+8.3%)
H2H factor
Pavelski leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Pavelski 88.9%
Defensive zone
Pavelski 68.9%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 86.7%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 86.7%
86.7%
13.3%
Pavelski
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
3
(10 meetings)
7
3
Pavelski
Trocheck
Last 10: Pavelski 7-3 Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
5
3
Pavelski
Trocheck
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
1
0
Pavelski
Trocheck
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pavelski
1
0
Pavelski
Trocheck
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pavelski
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (849)
47.2% (252)
+8.5%
Power Play
60.0% (205)
67.9% (28)
-7.9%
Penalty Kill
52.0% (152)
41.2% (68)
+10.8%
On penalty kill, Pavelski has a +10.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Pavelski is 58.5% vs right-shot opponents (352).
Pavelski shoots right. Trocheck is 39.8% vs right-shot opponents (133).
Home / Away
Pavelski
Trocheck
Home
59.2% (622)
51.1% (233)
Away
52.6% (584)
40.9% (115)
By Period
Pavelski
Trocheck
P1
54.1%
47.8%
P2
56.4%
51.9%
P3
56.4%
43.4%
OT
65.6%
60.0%
Final 5 min
54.8%
39.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
56.0%
Trocheck
60.0%▲
57.0%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2014 | 3 | 15:02 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 18, 2014 | 3 | 08:08 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 18, 2014 | 3 | 06:09 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 18, 2014 | 3 | 06:05 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 18, 2014 | 2 | 12:04 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 18, 2014 | 2 | 12:00 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Mar 18, 2014 | 2 | 11:40 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 18, 2014 | 2 | 06:18 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Mar 18, 2014 | 2 | 02:32 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 18, 2014 | 1 | 17:51 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |