Scouting Report
Vincent Trocheck holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pavelski 52.2% vs Trocheck 54.3% (-2.1%)
Offensive zone
Pavelski 64.6%
Defensive zone
Trocheck 71.1%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 54.3%
Result
Vincent Trocheck favored at 50.7%
49.3%
50.7%
Pavelski
Trocheck
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pavelski
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (570)
54.3% (955)
-1.8%
Power Play
54.5% (145)
64.6% (96)
-10.1%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (36)
51.0% (194)
-6.6%
On power play, Trocheck has a +10.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Pavelski is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (163).
Pavelski shoots right. Trocheck is 54.3% vs right-shot opponents (341).
Home / Away
Pavelski
Trocheck
Home
55.0% (391)
58.3% (604)
Away
49.7% (360)
51.2% (641)
By Period
Pavelski
Trocheck
P1
50.8%
53.9%
P2
55.0%
55.7%
P3
52.0%
54.3%
OT
25.0%
54.5%
Final 5 min
56.2%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
52.5%
Trocheck
60.0%▲
57.0%
54.6%