Scouting Report
Joe Thornton holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Thornton on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brassard 48.4% vs Thornton 52.4% (-4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Brassard 56.7%
Defensive zone
Brassard 62.9%
Neutral zone
Brassard 61.8%
Result
Derick Brassard favored at 61.6%
61.6%
38.4%
Brassard
Thornton
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Brassard
Thornton
Last 9: Brassard 3-6 Thornton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
0
1
Brassard
Thornton
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
1
2
Brassard
Thornton
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thornton
2
3
Brassard
Thornton
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brassard
Thornton
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (517)
52.5% (638)
-3.8%
Power Play
39.0% (59)
57.1% (35)
-18.1%
Penalty Kill
66.7% (12)
50.0% (2)
+16.7%
On power play, Thornton has a +18.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thornton shoots left. Brassard is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (391).
Brassard shoots left. Thornton is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (439).
Home / Away
Brassard
Thornton
Home
50.9% (348)
54.8% (341)
Away
44.2% (240)
50.6% (334)
By Period
Brassard
Thornton
P1
48.0%
55.2%
P2
47.3%
56.5%
P3
48.9%
47.1%
OT
66.7%
25.0%
Final 5 min
51.8%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
48.1%
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Apr 6, 2019 | 2 | 06:10 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Apr 6, 2019 | 2 | 00:14 | Defensive | Derick Brassard |
| Apr 6, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Apr 6, 2019 | 1 | 03:08 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Apr 6, 2019 | 1 | 02:56 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Apr 6, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Mar 1, 2019 | 3 | 15:42 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Jan 15, 2019 | 1 | 12:00 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |