Scouting Report
Joe Thornton holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Thornton on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beagle 51.4% vs Thornton 55.6% (-4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Beagle 58.3%
Defensive zone
Beagle 60.5%
Neutral zone
Beagle 61.1%
Result
Jay Beagle favored at 60.4%
60.4%
39.6%
Beagle
Thornton
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Beagle
Thornton
Last 5: Beagle 1-4 Thornton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
0
1
Beagle
Thornton
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
1
0
Beagle
Thornton
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thornton
0
3
Beagle
Thornton
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beagle
Thornton
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (514)
55.1% (836)
-3.9%
Power Play
38.9% (18)
60.8% (181)
-21.9%
Penalty Kill
63.4% (41)
56.1% (82)
+7.3%
On power play, Thornton has a +21.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thornton shoots left. Beagle is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (401).
Beagle shoots right. Thornton is 59.3% vs right-shot opponents (514).
Home / Away
Beagle
Thornton
Home
57.1% (280)
60.4% (528)
Away
46.4% (293)
52.2% (571)
By Period
Beagle
Thornton
P1
46.5%
58.1%
P2
56.3%
55.3%
P3
52.0%
55.0%
Final 5 min
48.0%
54.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
51.7%
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
56.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2014 | 3 | 14:12 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 22, 2014 | 3 | 10:20 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 22, 2014 | 3 | 07:05 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 22, 2014 | 2 | 10:44 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 22, 2014 | 1 | 03:35 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |