Scouting Report
Joe Thornton holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thornton 50.8% vs Eller 47.4% (+3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thornton 50.3%
Defensive zone
Eller 76.9%
Neutral zone
Eller 59.2%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 59.0%
41.0%
59.0%
Thornton
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Thornton
Eller
Last 7: Thornton 2-5 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eller
0
2
Thornton
Eller
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
0
1
Thornton
Eller
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Thornton
Eller
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thornton
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
49.8% (544)
48.9% (701)
+0.9%
Power Play
54.5% (178)
62.5% (8)
-8.0%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (15)
39.1% (174)
+7.6%
On power play, Eller has a +8.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Thornton is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (414).
Thornton shoots left. Eller is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (544).
Home / Away
Thornton
Eller
Home
54.9% (355)
47.5% (421)
Away
47.1% (382)
46.8% (462)
By Period
Thornton
Eller
P1
46.0%
47.8%
P2
52.5%
47.3%
P3
55.6%
46.1%
OT
33.3%
66.7%
Final 5 min
46.0%
45.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
50.9%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
47.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2017 | 1 | 15:19 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 9, 2017 | 1 | 15:11 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Nov 8, 2016 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Nov 8, 2016 | 2 | 19:56 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 8, 2016 | 2 | 06:27 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 8, 2016 | 2 | 03:25 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 8, 2016 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |