Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thornton 46.2% vs Eller 49.5% (-5.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thornton 70.2%
Defensive zone
Eller 70.5%
Neutral zone
Eller 55.8%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 53.0%
47.0%
53.0%
Thornton
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Thornton
Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
1
0
Thornton
Eller
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
0
1
Thornton
Eller
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Thornton
Eller
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thornton
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
43.5% (161)
51.1% (786)
-7.6%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
45.0% (80)
+5.0%
On even strength, Eller has a +7.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Thornton is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (108).
Thornton shoots left. Eller is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (677).
Home / Away
Thornton
Eller
Home
41.5% (106)
51.2% (510)
Away
47.8% (69)
47.8% (521)
By Period
Thornton
Eller
P1
50.8%
50.7%
P2
41.0%
49.0%
P3
40.0%
48.3%
Final 5 min
43.8%
45.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
44.0%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2021 | 3 | 08:18 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 30, 2021 | 3 | 01:32 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Nov 30, 2021 | 2 | 19:25 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 30, 2021 | 1 | 17:36 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |