Scouting Report
Joe Thornton holds a +19.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thornton 52.6% vs Reinhart 41.3% (+19.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thornton 88.3%
Defensive zone
Thornton 74.7%
Neutral zone
Thornton 84.2%
Result
Joe Thornton favored at 81.2%
81.2%
18.8%
Thornton
Reinhart
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Thornton
Reinhart
Last 5: Thornton 4-1 Reinhart
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
1
0
Thornton
Reinhart
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Thornton
Reinhart
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thornton
2
0
Thornton
Reinhart
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thornton
Reinhart
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (577)
30.0% (100)
+21.8%
Power Play
57.7% (168)
71.4% (7)
-13.7%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (8)
100.0% (1)
-62.5%
On penalty kill, Reinhart has a +62.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reinhart shoots right. Thornton is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (304).
Thornton shoots left. Reinhart is 30.3% vs left-shot opponents (66).
Home / Away
Thornton
Reinhart
Home
53.0% (379)
38.0% (50)
Away
52.9% (374)
29.3% (58)
By Period
Thornton
Reinhart
P1
53.3%
38.5%
P2
50.7%
31.8%
P3
54.3%
31.6%
Final 5 min
51.9%
34.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
53.0%
Reinhart
40.0%▬
39.0%
33.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2016 | 3 | 15:51 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 26, 2016 | 2 | 01:02 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 14, 2015 | 3 | 17:45 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 14, 2015 | 3 | 05:39 | Defensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Nov 14, 2015 | 2 | 04:16 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |