Scouting Report
Sam Reinhart holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Thornton wins 38.8% vs right-shot opponents — Reinhart shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thornton 46.2% vs Reinhart 48.8% (-4.5%)
Offensive zone
Reinhart 51.3%
Defensive zone
Thornton 51.1%
Neutral zone
Reinhart 53.9%
Result
Sam Reinhart favored at 51.4%
48.6%
51.4%
Thornton
Reinhart
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thornton
Reinhart
Edge
Even Strength
43.5% (161)
48.0% (275)
-4.5%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
48.1% (52)
+1.9%
On even strength, Reinhart has a +4.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reinhart shoots right. Thornton is 38.8% vs right-shot opponents (67).
Thornton shoots left. Reinhart is 45.6% vs left-shot opponents (274).
Home / Away
Thornton
Reinhart
Home
41.5% (106)
49.8% (201)
Away
47.8% (69)
46.8% (158)
By Period
Thornton
Reinhart
P1
50.8%
54.8%
P2
41.0%
40.5%
P3
40.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
43.8%
43.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
44.0%
Reinhart
40.0%▬
39.0%
48.5%