Scouting Report
Joe Thornton holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Thornton on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Thornton wins 59.3% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thornton 55.6% vs Johnson 48.3% (+7.9%)
H2H factor
Thornton leads 12-3 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Thornton 91.6%
Defensive zone
Thornton 81.8%
Neutral zone
Thornton 83.8%
Result
Joe Thornton favored at 85.5%
85.5%
14.5%
Thornton
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
3
(15 meetings)
12
3
Thornton
Johnson
Last 10: Thornton 8-2 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
3
2
Thornton
Johnson
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
6
1
Thornton
Johnson
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thornton
3
0
Thornton
Johnson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thornton
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
55.1% (836)
48.7% (941)
+6.4%
Power Play
60.8% (181)
49.6% (133)
+11.2%
Penalty Kill
56.1% (82)
44.8% (201)
+11.3%
On penalty kill, Thornton has a +11.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Thornton is 59.3% vs right-shot opponents (514).
Thornton shoots left. Johnson is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (862).
Home / Away
Thornton
Johnson
Home
60.4% (528)
50.5% (588)
Away
52.2% (571)
46.1% (687)
By Period
Thornton
Johnson
P1
58.1%
49.4%
P2
55.3%
47.3%
P3
55.0%
48.1%
OT
55.2%
42.1%
Final 5 min
54.1%
45.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
56.1%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2014 | 3 | 18:43 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Jan 18, 2014 | 3 | 18:38 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Jan 18, 2014 | 3 | 10:59 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Jan 18, 2014 | 3 | 07:19 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Jan 18, 2014 | 2 | 13:01 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Jan 18, 2014 | 1 | 10:01 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Jan 18, 2014 | 1 | 08:14 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Nov 21, 2013 | 3 | 07:12 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 21, 2013 | 3 | 03:50 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 21, 2013 | 2 | 09:53 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 21, 2013 | 2 | 00:39 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 21, 2013 | 1 | 10:52 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Nov 21, 2013 | 1 | 03:39 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 21, 2013 | 1 | 00:06 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 21, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |