Scouting Report
Joe Thornton holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Thornton on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 12 meetings). Thornton wins 54.4% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thornton 54.3% vs Johnson 49.7% (+4.6%)
H2H factor
Thornton leads 29-9 in 38 meetings
Offensive zone
Thornton 87.0%
Defensive zone
Thornton 79.6%
Neutral zone
Thornton 87.6%
Result
Joe Thornton favored at 84.8%
84.8%
15.2%
Thornton
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
29
-
9
(38 meetings)
29
9
Thornton
Johnson
Last 10: Thornton 8-2 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
10
5
Thornton
Johnson
15 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
10
2
Thornton
Johnson
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thornton
9
2
Thornton
Johnson
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thornton
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (6,640)
49.8% (5,396)
+3.7%
Power Play
57.2% (1,387)
54.6% (885)
+2.6%
Penalty Kill
56.7% (427)
42.3% (707)
+14.4%
On penalty kill, Thornton has a +14.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Thornton is 54.4% vs right-shot opponents (3,270).
Thornton shoots left. Johnson is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (4,785).
Home / Away
Thornton
Johnson
Home
55.8% (4,271)
52.5% (3,460)
Away
52.8% (4,219)
46.8% (3,528)
By Period
Thornton
Johnson
P1
55.0%
50.1%
P2
53.3%
50.6%
P3
54.4%
48.4%
OT
56.4%
42.5%
Final 5 min
53.7%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
54.3%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2020 | 3 | 17:57 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Feb 1, 2020 | 3 | 13:21 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 1, 2020 | 3 | 06:10 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 1, 2020 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 1, 2020 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 2, 2017 | 2 | 09:01 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 8, 2017 | 1 | 17:22 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 8, 2017 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Jan 19, 2017 | 3 | 15:33 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Jan 19, 2017 | 3 | 09:51 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Jan 19, 2017 | 3 | 08:24 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Jan 19, 2017 | 2 | 12:40 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Jan 19, 2017 | 1 | 03:28 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Nov 12, 2016 | 3 | 18:46 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Nov 12, 2016 | 3 | 15:20 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 12, 2016 | 2 | 18:56 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Nov 12, 2016 | 2 | 07:48 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 16, 2016 | 1 | 07:14 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 15, 2015 | 2 | 19:12 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 15, 2015 | 1 | 08:51 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |