Scouting Report
Tyler Johnson holds a +16.8% FO% edge overall. Thornton wins 38.8% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thornton 46.2% vs Johnson 53.6% (-16.8%)
Offensive zone
Thornton 52.0%
Defensive zone
Thornton 56.0%
Neutral zone
Johnson 51.7%
Result
Joe Thornton favored at 52.1%
52.1%
47.9%
Thornton
Johnson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thornton
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
43.5% (161)
61.9% (42)
-18.4%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
55.6% (9)
-5.6%
On even strength, Johnson has a +18.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Thornton is 38.8% vs right-shot opponents (67).
Thornton shoots left. Johnson is 61.8% vs left-shot opponents (34).
Home / Away
Thornton
Johnson
Home
41.5% (106)
52.0% (25)
Away
47.8% (69)
69.2% (26)
By Period
Thornton
Johnson
P1
50.8%
72.0%
P2
41.0%
66.7%
P3
40.0%
27.3%
Final 5 min
43.8%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
44.0%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
60.8%