Scouting Report
Joe Thornton holds a +9.3% FO% edge overall. Thornton wins 56.4% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thornton 57.3% vs Johnson 48.8% (+9.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thornton 77.1%
Defensive zone
Thornton 87.4%
Neutral zone
Thornton 86.8%
Result
Joe Thornton favored at 83.0%
83.0%
17.0%
Thornton
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Thornton
Johnson
Last 5: Thornton 5-0 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
2
0
Thornton
Johnson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
1
0
Thornton
Johnson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thornton
2
0
Thornton
Johnson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thornton
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
58.7% (722)
49.5% (828)
+9.2%
Power Play
58.5% (147)
54.9% (142)
+3.6%
Penalty Kill
51.2% (86)
36.8% (133)
+14.4%
On penalty kill, Thornton has a +14.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Thornton is 56.4% vs right-shot opponents (427).
Thornton shoots left. Johnson is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (728).
Home / Away
Thornton
Johnson
Home
60.1% (496)
50.7% (564)
Away
55.8% (459)
46.6% (539)
By Period
Thornton
Johnson
P1
60.4%
51.2%
P2
54.7%
47.5%
P3
58.2%
48.4%
OT
61.5%
33.3%
Final 5 min
55.5%
48.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
58.0%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2015 | 2 | 19:12 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 15, 2015 | 1 | 08:51 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 13, 2014 | 2 | 00:31 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 13, 2014 | 1 | 12:55 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 13, 2014 | 1 | 04:06 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |