Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thornton 46.2% vs Karlsson 51.5% (-7.7%)
Offensive zone
Thornton 61.6%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 55.6%
Neutral zone
Karlsson 55.5%
Result
Joe Thornton favored at 50.2%
50.2%
49.8%
Thornton
Karlsson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thornton
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
43.5% (161)
51.4% (735)
-7.9%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
63.5% (115)
-13.5%
On power play, Karlsson has a +13.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Thornton is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (108).
Thornton shoots left. Karlsson is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (651).
Home / Away
Thornton
Karlsson
Home
41.5% (106)
52.3% (524)
Away
47.8% (69)
51.0% (459)
By Period
Thornton
Karlsson
P1
50.8%
50.7%
P2
41.0%
51.4%
P3
40.0%
53.2%
Final 5 min
43.8%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
44.0%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
51.7%