Joe Thornton vs William Karlsson
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Joe Thornton holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Karlsson on defensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings). Thornton wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thornton 54.3% vs Karlsson 51.3% (+3.0%)
H2H factor
Thornton leads 12-10 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Thornton 56.9%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 59.4%
Neutral zone
Thornton 51.8%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 51.6%
48.4%
51.6%
Thornton
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
10
(22 meetings)
12
10
Thornton
Karlsson
Last 10: Thornton 6-4 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
4
1
Thornton
Karlsson
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
2
7
Thornton
Karlsson
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thornton
6
2
Thornton
Karlsson
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thornton
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (6,640)
51.8% (7,849)
+1.7%
Power Play
57.2% (1,387)
54.8% (1,048)
+2.4%
Penalty Kill
56.7% (427)
44.2% (1,109)
+12.5%
On penalty kill, Thornton has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Thornton is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,220).
Thornton shoots left. Karlsson is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (6,551).
Home / Away
Thornton
Karlsson
Home
55.8% (4,271)
52.0% (5,090)
Away
52.8% (4,219)
50.5% (4,916)
By Period
Thornton
Karlsson
P1
55.0%
50.3%
P2
53.3%
51.3%
P3
54.4%
52.4%
OT
56.4%
44.9%
Final 5 min
53.7%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
54.3%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 21, 2019 | 2 | 15:40 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Oct 4, 2019 | 3 | 09:46 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 30, 2019 | 3 | 09:00 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 18, 2019 | 2 | 14:27 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Mar 18, 2019 | 2 | 02:45 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Jan 10, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 24, 2018 | 2 | 07:39 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Nov 24, 2018 | 1 | 18:44 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 24, 2017 | 3 | 02:40 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 24, 2017 | 3 | 00:32 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Nov 24, 2017 | 1 | 16:11 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Nov 24, 2017 | 1 | 05:03 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Oct 27, 2016 | 1 | 11:20 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Oct 15, 2016 | 1 | 19:12 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 22, 2015 | 3 | 14:02 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Nov 22, 2015 | 3 | 06:06 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Nov 22, 2015 | 3 | 02:55 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Nov 22, 2015 | 2 | 14:34 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 22, 2015 | 2 | 14:31 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Nov 22, 2015 | 2 | 09:02 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |