Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.6% vs 49.0%). Look for Veleno on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 48.7% vs Veleno 49.2% (-0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 80.5%
Defensive zone
Veleno 54.4%
Neutral zone
Malkin 56.8%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 54.9%
54.9%
45.1%
Malkin
Veleno
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Malkin
Veleno
Last 6: Malkin 1-5 Veleno
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Veleno
0
1
Malkin
Veleno
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Veleno
1
4
Malkin
Veleno
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Veleno
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (776)
48.4% (531)
-0.5%
Power Play
66.7% (24)
56.3% (64)
+10.4%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
44.4% (27)
+55.6%
On penalty kill, Malkin has a +55.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Veleno shoots left. Malkin is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (541).
Malkin shoots left. Veleno is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (403).
Home / Away
Malkin
Veleno
Home
49.6% (405)
48.8% (289)
Away
47.5% (396)
49.2% (333)
By Period
Malkin
Veleno
P1
49.6%
46.1%
P2
47.2%
50.9%
P3
48.5%
49.7%
OT
100.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
48.3%
52.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
48.6%
Veleno
54.0%▲
52.5%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2024 | 2 | 07:58 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |
| Apr 11, 2024 | 1 | 15:09 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |
| Mar 17, 2024 | 2 | 17:35 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |
| Mar 17, 2024 | 1 | 01:24 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 18, 2023 | 3 | 04:52 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Oct 18, 2023 | 2 | 07:46 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |