Scouting Report
Joe Veleno holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Veleno on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Veleno 51.1% vs Scheifele 47.2% (+4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 57.6%
Defensive zone
Veleno 84.7%
Neutral zone
Veleno 67.1%
Result
Joe Veleno favored at 76.1%
76.1%
23.9%
Veleno
Scheifele
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Veleno
Scheifele
Last 7: Veleno 5-2 Scheifele
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
0
1
Veleno
Scheifele
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Veleno
5
0
Veleno
Scheifele
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Scheifele
0
1
Veleno
Scheifele
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Veleno
Scheifele
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (272)
46.5% (878)
+6.4%
Penalty Kill
37.9% (29)
50.0% (54)
-12.1%
On penalty kill, Scheifele has a +12.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Scheifele shoots right. Veleno is 49.6% vs right-shot opponents (119).
Veleno shoots left. Scheifele is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (860).
Home / Away
Veleno
Scheifele
Home
49.6% (123)
46.2% (571)
Away
52.8% (178)
47.7% (535)
By Period
Veleno
Scheifele
P1
54.8%
51.9%
P2
49.2%
45.6%
P3
52.6%
43.9%
OT
25.0%
27.3%
Final 5 min
60.3%
47.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Veleno
54.0%▲
52.5%
51.5%
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
46.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2026 | 3 | 16:52 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 2 | 16:16 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 1 | 19:24 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Dec 3, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 2 | 17:59 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 2 | 17:47 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 1 | 03:01 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |