Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.1% vs 46.8%). Look for Veleno on defensive-zone draws (90% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Veleno 47.2% vs Scheifele 46.8% (+0.3%)
H2H factor
Veleno leads 14-8 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Scheifele 62.4%
Defensive zone
Veleno 74.2%
Neutral zone
Veleno 57.8%
Result
Joe Veleno favored at 59.7%
59.7%
40.3%
Veleno
Scheifele
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
8
(22 meetings)
14
8
Veleno
Scheifele
Last 10: Veleno 5-5 Scheifele
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
2
4
Veleno
Scheifele
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Veleno
9
1
Veleno
Scheifele
10 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Veleno
Scheifele
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Veleno
Scheifele
Edge
Even Strength
47.4% (2,311)
46.3% (12,036)
+1.1%
Power Play
51.0% (98)
50.2% (2,563)
+0.8%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (88)
41.6% (598)
-5.2%
On penalty kill, Scheifele has a +5.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Scheifele shoots right. Veleno is 48.9% vs right-shot opponents (879).
Veleno shoots left. Scheifele is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (10,821).
Home / Away
Veleno
Scheifele
Home
45.3% (1,136)
48.9% (7,644)
Away
48.6% (1,361)
44.7% (7,554)
By Period
Veleno
Scheifele
P1
48.0%
48.2%
P2
47.7%
45.6%
P3
45.9%
46.8%
OT
35.7%
42.5%
Final 5 min
48.7%
45.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Veleno
54.0%▲
52.5%
47.1%
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2026 | 3 | 16:52 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 2 | 16:16 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 1 | 19:24 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Dec 3, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 2 | 17:59 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 2 | 17:47 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 1 | 03:01 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 3 | 05:29 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 20, 2023 | 1 | 14:45 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 1 | 14:25 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 31, 2023 | 3 | 10:41 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |
| Mar 31, 2023 | 2 | 16:59 | Offensive | Joe Veleno |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 3 | 01:18 | Offensive | Joe Veleno |
| Apr 6, 2022 | 3 | 18:28 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Apr 6, 2022 | 3 | 17:46 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Apr 6, 2022 | 3 | 07:28 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |
| Apr 6, 2022 | 1 | 12:02 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Jan 13, 2022 | 3 | 13:16 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |