Scouting Report
Peyton Krebs holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Veleno wins 42.1% vs left-shot opponents — Krebs shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Veleno 43.5% vs Krebs 45.9% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Veleno 62.8%
Defensive zone
Veleno 52.1%
Neutral zone
Veleno 51.4%
Result
Joe Veleno favored at 54.0%
54.0%
46.0%
Veleno
Krebs
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Veleno
Krebs
Last 5: Veleno 1-4 Krebs
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Krebs
0
1
Veleno
Krebs
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Veleno
Krebs
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Krebs
0
2
Veleno
Krebs
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Veleno
Krebs
Edge
Even Strength
42.9% (617)
45.5% (501)
-2.6%
Power Play
37.5% (16)
50.0% (20)
-12.5%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (18)
37.1% (35)
-3.8%
On power play, Krebs has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Krebs shoots left. Veleno is 42.1% vs left-shot opponents (449).
Veleno shoots left. Krebs is 41.3% vs left-shot opponents (351).
Home / Away
Veleno
Krebs
Home
40.7% (327)
43.9% (285)
Away
44.4% (324)
46.5% (271)
By Period
Veleno
Krebs
P1
43.2%
45.4%
P2
42.0%
50.9%
P3
42.4%
39.7%
OT
50.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
41.4%
47.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Veleno
54.0%▲
52.5%
42.5%
Krebs
48.0%▲
45.0%
45.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2023 | 1 | 04:35 | Neutral | Peyton Krebs |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 1 | 01:48 | Offensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 1 | 01:40 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Oct 31, 2022 | 3 | 12:53 | Neutral | Peyton Krebs |
| Oct 31, 2022 | 2 | 05:40 | Defensive | Peyton Krebs |