Scouting Report
Joe Veleno holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Veleno 49.2% vs Krebs 46.8% (+2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Veleno 67.8%
Defensive zone
Veleno 62.1%
Neutral zone
Veleno 64.7%
Result
Joe Veleno favored at 64.2%
64.2%
35.8%
Veleno
Krebs
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Veleno
Krebs
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Veleno
1
0
Veleno
Krebs
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Veleno
Krebs
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Veleno
1
0
Veleno
Krebs
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Veleno
Krebs
Edge
Even Strength
48.4% (531)
47.2% (542)
+1.2%
Power Play
56.3% (64)
54.2% (24)
+2.1%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (27)
31.3% (48)
+13.1%
On penalty kill, Veleno has a +13.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Krebs shoots left. Veleno is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (403).
Veleno shoots left. Krebs is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (358).
Home / Away
Veleno
Krebs
Home
48.8% (289)
45.5% (312)
Away
49.2% (333)
47.0% (302)
By Period
Veleno
Krebs
P1
46.1%
46.6%
P2
50.9%
42.7%
P3
49.7%
48.6%
OT
66.7%
100.0%
Final 5 min
52.7%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Veleno
54.0%▲
52.5%
49.0%
Krebs
48.0%▲
45.0%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2024 | 3 | 19:12 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 1 | 15:29 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |
| Dec 5, 2023 | 2 | 10:32 | Offensive | Joe Veleno |
| Dec 5, 2023 | 2 | 04:29 | Defensive | Peyton Krebs |