Scouting Report
Joe Veleno holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Greig on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Veleno 49.2% vs Greig 45.0% (+5.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Greig 67.6%
Defensive zone
Greig 67.0%
Neutral zone
Greig 65.6%
Result
Ridly Greig favored at 66.3%
33.7%
66.3%
Veleno
Greig
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Veleno
Greig
Last 5: Veleno 1-4 Greig
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Greig
0
1
Veleno
Greig
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Greig
0
1
Veleno
Greig
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Greig
1
2
Veleno
Greig
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Veleno
Greig
Edge
Even Strength
48.4% (531)
45.2% (414)
+3.2%
Power Play
56.3% (64)
28.6% (14)
+27.7%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (27)
28.6% (21)
+15.8%
On power play, Veleno has a +27.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Greig shoots left. Veleno is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (403).
Veleno shoots left. Greig is 42.7% vs left-shot opponents (288).
Home / Away
Veleno
Greig
Home
48.8% (289)
46.4% (196)
Away
49.2% (333)
41.9% (253)
By Period
Veleno
Greig
P1
46.1%
40.8%
P2
50.9%
46.4%
P3
49.7%
43.9%
OT
66.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
52.7%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Veleno
54.0%▲
52.5%
49.0%
Greig
52.0%▲
48.5%
43.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2023 | 2 | 18:56 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 1 | 01:57 | Neutral | Ridly Greig |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 3 | 19:33 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 3 | 11:26 | Offensive | Ridly Greig |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 1 | 19:21 | Neutral | Ridly Greig |