Scouting Report
Ridly Greig holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Greig on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Veleno wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — Greig shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Veleno 47.2% vs Greig 48.8% (-1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Veleno 62.8%
Defensive zone
Greig 53.9%
Neutral zone
Veleno 54.6%
Result
Joe Veleno favored at 55.9%
55.9%
44.1%
Veleno
Greig
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Veleno
Greig
Last 6: Veleno 2-4 Greig
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Veleno
Greig
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Greig
0
1
Veleno
Greig
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Greig
1
2
Veleno
Greig
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Veleno
Greig
Edge
Even Strength
47.4% (2,311)
48.5% (1,133)
-1.1%
Power Play
51.0% (98)
56.8% (74)
-5.8%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (88)
46.5% (172)
-10.1%
On penalty kill, Greig has a +10.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Greig shoots left. Veleno is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,618).
Veleno shoots left. Greig is 44.8% vs left-shot opponents (745).
Home / Away
Veleno
Greig
Home
45.3% (1,136)
49.8% (681)
Away
48.6% (1,361)
47.7% (698)
By Period
Veleno
Greig
P1
48.0%
46.3%
P2
47.7%
51.2%
P3
45.9%
48.8%
OT
35.7%
28.6%
Final 5 min
48.7%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Veleno
54.0%▲
52.5%
47.1%
Greig
52.0%▲
48.5%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 2, 2025 | 3 | 11:47 | Offensive | Joe Veleno |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 2 | 18:56 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 1 | 01:57 | Neutral | Ridly Greig |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 3 | 19:33 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 3 | 11:26 | Offensive | Ridly Greig |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 1 | 19:21 | Neutral | Ridly Greig |