Scouting Report
Ryan Poehling holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Poehling on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Veleno wins 42.1% vs left-shot opponents — Poehling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Veleno 43.5% vs Poehling 46.2% (-2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Veleno 78.1%
Defensive zone
Poehling 55.1%
Neutral zone
Veleno 57.0%
Result
Joe Veleno favored at 62.0%
62.0%
38.0%
Veleno
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Veleno
Poehling
Last 6: Veleno 2-4 Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Poehling
0
2
Veleno
Poehling
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Veleno
1
0
Veleno
Poehling
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Poehling
1
2
Veleno
Poehling
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Veleno
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
42.9% (617)
46.5% (269)
-3.6%
Power Play
37.5% (16)
66.7% (3)
-29.2%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (18)
42.4% (139)
-9.1%
On power play, Poehling has a +29.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Veleno is 42.1% vs left-shot opponents (449).
Veleno shoots left. Poehling is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (266).
Home / Away
Veleno
Poehling
Home
40.7% (327)
45.2% (177)
Away
44.4% (324)
45.3% (234)
By Period
Veleno
Poehling
P1
43.2%
47.7%
P2
42.0%
44.4%
P3
42.4%
44.6%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
41.4%
42.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Veleno
54.0%▲
52.5%
42.5%
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
45.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2023 | 2 | 15:27 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Mar 28, 2023 | 3 | 19:23 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Mar 28, 2023 | 3 | 09:22 | Offensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Mar 28, 2023 | 3 | 09:15 | Offensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Mar 28, 2023 | 3 | 04:05 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |
| Mar 28, 2023 | 2 | 04:40 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |