Scouting Report
Ryan Poehling holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Poehling on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Veleno wins 43.1% vs left-shot opponents — Poehling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Veleno 47.4% vs Poehling 50.8% (-4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Veleno 57.9%
Defensive zone
Poehling 60.4%
Neutral zone
Poehling 53.0%
Result
Ryan Poehling favored at 55.3%
44.7%
55.3%
Veleno
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Veleno
Poehling
Last 8: Veleno 4-4 Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Veleno
1
0
Veleno
Poehling
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Poehling
1
3
Veleno
Poehling
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Veleno
2
1
Veleno
Poehling
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Veleno
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
47.1% (420)
52.6% (622)
-5.5%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
58.3% (12)
+41.7%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (8)
39.8% (103)
-14.8%
On power play, Veleno has a +41.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Veleno is 43.1% vs left-shot opponents (288).
Veleno shoots left. Poehling is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (505).
Home / Away
Veleno
Poehling
Home
47.8% (201)
53.2% (393)
Away
46.1% (228)
48.3% (344)
By Period
Veleno
Poehling
P1
48.8%
50.9%
P2
47.9%
56.2%
P3
44.2%
46.1%
Final 5 min
47.6%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Veleno
54.0%▲
52.5%
46.9%
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2025 | 2 | 09:32 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |
| Mar 23, 2025 | 2 | 04:27 | Offensive | Joe Veleno |
| Mar 23, 2025 | 2 | 01:45 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Mar 23, 2025 | 1 | 11:59 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |
| Mar 23, 2025 | 1 | 01:28 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 3 | 19:47 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 2 | 02:09 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 1 | 16:25 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |