Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Veleno on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Veleno wins 47.0% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Veleno 48.6% vs Crosby 52.3% (-4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Crosby 84.5%
Defensive zone
Veleno 53.0%
Neutral zone
Crosby 55.0%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 52.9%
47.1%
52.9%
Veleno
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Veleno
Crosby
Last 9: Veleno 5-4 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
1
Veleno
Crosby
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Veleno
4
2
Veleno
Crosby
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Veleno
Crosby
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Veleno
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (438)
50.8% (1,169)
-1.7%
Power Play
37.5% (16)
60.2% (261)
-22.7%
Penalty Kill
16.7% (6)
45.0% (20)
-28.3%
On penalty kill, Crosby has a +28.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Veleno is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (279).
Veleno shoots left. Crosby is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (929).
Home / Away
Veleno
Crosby
Home
44.0% (184)
53.2% (726)
Away
51.1% (276)
51.7% (724)
By Period
Veleno
Crosby
P1
50.8%
51.3%
P2
50.4%
52.1%
P3
43.9%
54.1%
OT
33.3%
45.8%
Final 5 min
48.2%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Veleno
54.0%▲
52.5%
48.3%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 23, 2022 | 3 | 15:59 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Apr 23, 2022 | 2 | 02:05 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Apr 23, 2022 | 1 | 11:53 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Apr 23, 2022 | 1 | 10:01 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Apr 23, 2022 | 1 | 09:41 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 27, 2022 | 1 | 14:33 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 27, 2022 | 1 | 14:23 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 28, 2022 | 2 | 16:31 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |
| Jan 28, 2022 | 2 | 13:22 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |