Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +10.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Veleno on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Veleno wins 42.1% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Veleno 43.5% vs Crosby 52.8% (-10.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Crosby 95.3%
Defensive zone
Crosby 72.0%
Neutral zone
Crosby 89.9%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 82.8%
17.2%
82.8%
Veleno
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Veleno
Crosby
Last 6: Veleno 5-1 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Veleno
Crosby
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Veleno
3
0
Veleno
Crosby
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Veleno
1
0
Veleno
Crosby
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Veleno
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
42.9% (617)
52.5% (1,443)
-9.6%
Power Play
37.5% (16)
54.7% (369)
-17.2%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (18)
55.9% (34)
-22.6%
On penalty kill, Crosby has a +22.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Veleno is 42.1% vs left-shot opponents (449).
Veleno shoots left. Crosby is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,199).
Home / Away
Veleno
Crosby
Home
40.7% (327)
53.0% (931)
Away
44.4% (324)
53.0% (915)
By Period
Veleno
Crosby
P1
43.2%
50.3%
P2
42.0%
55.4%
P3
42.4%
53.3%
OT
50.0%
47.4%
Final 5 min
41.4%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Veleno
54.0%▲
52.5%
42.5%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
53.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2023 | 2 | 02:24 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 28, 2023 | 1 | 12:14 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Mar 28, 2023 | 1 | 11:03 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |
| Mar 28, 2023 | 1 | 04:00 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Dec 28, 2022 | 2 | 14:07 | Offensive | Joe Veleno |
| Dec 28, 2022 | 2 | 10:14 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |