Scouting Report
Tyler Johnson holds a +8.8% FO% edge overall. Veleno wins 43.6% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Veleno 43.5% vs Johnson 50.7% (-8.8%)
Offensive zone
Johnson 67.5%
Defensive zone
Veleno 77.2%
Neutral zone
Johnson 50.6%
Result
Joe Veleno favored at 53.0%
53.0%
47.0%
Veleno
Johnson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Veleno
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
42.9% (617)
47.4% (78)
-4.5%
Power Play
37.5% (16)
57.6% (33)
-20.1%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (18)
100.0% (2)
-66.7%
On penalty kill, Johnson has a +66.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Veleno is 43.6% vs right-shot opponents (202).
Veleno shoots left. Johnson is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (76).
Home / Away
Veleno
Johnson
Home
40.7% (327)
50.9% (57)
Away
44.4% (324)
51.8% (56)
By Period
Veleno
Johnson
P1
43.2%
44.1%
P2
42.0%
59.4%
P3
42.4%
52.3%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
41.4%
56.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Veleno
54.0%▲
52.5%
42.5%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
51.3%