Scouting Report
Tyler Johnson holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Veleno on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Veleno 47.2% vs Johnson 49.7% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johnson 68.8%
Defensive zone
Johnson 53.2%
Neutral zone
Johnson 60.6%
Result
Tyler Johnson favored at 59.9%
40.1%
59.9%
Veleno
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Veleno
Johnson
Last 8: Veleno 5-3 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Veleno
Johnson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Veleno
2
1
Veleno
Johnson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Veleno
2
1
Veleno
Johnson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Veleno
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
47.4% (2,311)
49.8% (5,396)
-2.4%
Power Play
51.0% (98)
54.6% (885)
-3.6%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (88)
42.3% (707)
-5.9%
On penalty kill, Johnson has a +5.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Veleno is 48.9% vs right-shot opponents (879).
Veleno shoots left. Johnson is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (4,785).
Home / Away
Veleno
Johnson
Home
45.3% (1,136)
52.5% (3,460)
Away
48.6% (1,361)
46.8% (3,528)
By Period
Veleno
Johnson
P1
48.0%
50.1%
P2
47.7%
50.6%
P3
45.9%
48.4%
OT
35.7%
42.5%
Final 5 min
48.7%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Veleno
54.0%▲
52.5%
47.1%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2023 | 3 | 19:12 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 1 | 19:00 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 1 | 08:42 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 1 | 05:32 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 1 | 02:29 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |
| May 2, 2021 | 1 | 10:34 | Offensive | Joe Veleno |
| May 1, 2021 | OT | 02:08 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| May 1, 2021 | 3 | 02:37 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |