Scouting Report
Joe Veleno holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Jost on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Veleno wins 42.1% vs left-shot opponents — Jost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Veleno 43.5% vs Jost 40.8% (+3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Veleno 55.7%
Defensive zone
Jost 53.2%
Neutral zone
Jost 50.1%
Result
Tyson Jost favored at 50.7%
49.3%
50.7%
Veleno
Jost
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Veleno
Jost
Last 6: Veleno 3-3 Jost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Veleno
1
0
Veleno
Jost
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jost
1
2
Veleno
Jost
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Veleno
Jost
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Veleno
Jost
Edge
Even Strength
42.9% (617)
41.8% (388)
+1.1%
Power Play
37.5% (16)
0.0% (3)
+37.5%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (18)
21.7% (60)
+11.6%
On power play, Veleno has a +37.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jost shoots left. Veleno is 42.1% vs left-shot opponents (449).
Veleno shoots left. Jost is 38.5% vs left-shot opponents (283).
Home / Away
Veleno
Jost
Home
40.7% (327)
42.6% (230)
Away
44.4% (324)
34.8% (221)
By Period
Veleno
Jost
P1
43.2%
43.2%
P2
42.0%
38.2%
P3
42.4%
34.6%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
41.4%
40.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Veleno
54.0%▲
52.5%
42.5%
Jost
38.0%▼
41.5%
38.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2023 | 2 | 01:33 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 1 | 05:03 | Defensive | Tyson Jost |
| Nov 30, 2022 | 3 | 12:52 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Nov 30, 2022 | 1 | 08:25 | Neutral | Tyson Jost |
| Nov 30, 2022 | 1 | 05:51 | Defensive | Tyson Jost |
| Nov 30, 2022 | 1 | 05:39 | Offensive | Joe Veleno |