Scouting Report
Joe Veleno holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Veleno on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Veleno wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — Jost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Veleno 47.2% vs Jost 40.5% (+7.0%)
H2H factor
Veleno leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Veleno 69.3%
Defensive zone
Veleno 65.7%
Neutral zone
Veleno 62.0%
Result
Joe Veleno favored at 65.7%
65.7%
34.3%
Veleno
Jost
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
5
(11 meetings)
6
5
Veleno
Jost
Last 10: Veleno 6-4 Jost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Veleno
2
1
Veleno
Jost
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Veleno
3
2
Veleno
Jost
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jost
1
2
Veleno
Jost
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Veleno
Jost
Edge
Even Strength
47.4% (2,311)
41.0% (2,014)
+6.4%
Power Play
51.0% (98)
34.2% (73)
+16.8%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (88)
35.3% (255)
+1.1%
On power play, Veleno has a +16.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jost shoots left. Veleno is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,618).
Veleno shoots left. Jost is 40.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,466).
Home / Away
Veleno
Jost
Home
45.3% (1,136)
41.9% (1,238)
Away
48.6% (1,361)
38.1% (1,104)
By Period
Veleno
Jost
P1
48.0%
38.5%
P2
47.7%
41.2%
P3
45.9%
40.9%
OT
35.7%
40.0%
Final 5 min
48.7%
38.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Veleno
54.0%▲
52.5%
47.1%
Jost
38.0%▼
41.5%
40.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2024 | 2 | 17:03 | Offensive | Tyson Jost |
| Apr 7, 2024 | 1 | 04:53 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Apr 7, 2024 | 1 | 01:18 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 2 | 18:45 | Offensive | Joe Veleno |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 2 | 01:33 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 1 | 05:03 | Defensive | Tyson Jost |
| Nov 30, 2022 | 3 | 12:52 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Nov 30, 2022 | 1 | 08:25 | Neutral | Tyson Jost |
| Nov 30, 2022 | 1 | 05:51 | Defensive | Tyson Jost |
| Nov 30, 2022 | 1 | 05:39 | Offensive | Joe Veleno |
| Feb 23, 2022 | 2 | 18:19 | Neutral | Tyson Jost |