Scouting Report
Joel Armia holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Armia wins 42.6% vs left-shot opponents — Ostlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Armia 44.3% vs Ostlund 36.5% (+5.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ostlund 51.8%
Defensive zone
Armia 53.2%
Neutral zone
Ostlund 55.3%
Result
Noah Ostlund favored at 53.5%
46.5%
53.5%
Armia
Ostlund
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Armia
Ostlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Armia
1
0
Armia
Ostlund
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ostlund
0
1
Armia
Ostlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Armia
Ostlund
Edge
Even Strength
36.2% (69)
32.2% (261)
+4.0%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
11.1% (9)
+38.9%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (5)
33.3% (3)
+6.7%
On power play, Armia has a +38.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ostlund shoots left. Armia is 42.6% vs left-shot opponents (54).
Armia shoots right. Ostlund is 35.8% vs right-shot opponents (106).
Home / Away
Armia
Ostlund
Home
38.5% (26)
37.3% (142)
Away
36.0% (50)
25.2% (131)
By Period
Armia
Ostlund
P1
40.0%
34.0%
P2
33.3%
32.6%
P3
37.0%
27.4%
Final 5 min
15.0%
23.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Armia
40.0%▲
30.0%
36.8%
Ostlund
46.0%▲
34.5%
31.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2 | 05:17 | Offensive | Joel Armia |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2 | 05:10 | Neutral | Noah Ostlund |