Scouting Report
Noah Ostlund holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Armia wins 32.9% vs left-shot opponents — Ostlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Armia 36.8% vs Ostlund 36.5% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ostlund 50.8%
Defensive zone
Armia 50.7%
Neutral zone
Ostlund 53.3%
Result
Noah Ostlund favored at 52.1%
47.9%
52.1%
Armia
Ostlund
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Armia
Ostlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Armia
1
0
Armia
Ostlund
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ostlund
0
1
Armia
Ostlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Armia
Ostlund
Edge
Even Strength
31.6% (174)
32.5% (283)
-0.9%
Power Play
25.0% (8)
11.1% (9)
+13.9%
Penalty Kill
27.8% (36)
33.3% (3)
-5.5%
On power play, Armia has a +13.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ostlund shoots left. Armia is 32.9% vs left-shot opponents (155).
Armia shoots right. Ostlund is 34.8% vs right-shot opponents (112).
Home / Away
Armia
Ostlund
Home
32.6% (95)
37.0% (154)
Away
29.3% (123)
26.2% (141)
By Period
Armia
Ostlund
P1
33.3%
34.6%
P2
30.5%
32.0%
P3
28.6%
28.6%
Final 5 min
25.0%
23.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Armia
40.0%▲
30.0%
30.7%
Ostlund
46.0%▲
34.5%
31.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2 | 05:17 | Offensive | Joel Armia |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2 | 05:10 | Neutral | Noah Ostlund |