Scouting Report
Joel Armia holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Armia wins 42.6% vs left-shot opponents — Zegras shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Armia 44.3% vs Zegras 35.4% (+6.5%)
Offensive zone
Zegras 68.3%
Defensive zone
Armia 62.7%
Neutral zone
Zegras 53.7%
Result
Trevor Zegras favored at 53.1%
46.9%
53.1%
Armia
Zegras
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Armia
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
36.2% (69)
29.6% (230)
+6.6%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
32.1% (56)
+17.9%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (5)
100.0% (1)
-60.0%
On penalty kill, Zegras has a +60.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Armia is 42.6% vs left-shot opponents (54).
Armia shoots right. Zegras is 29.7% vs right-shot opponents (111).
Home / Away
Armia
Zegras
Home
38.5% (26)
30.6% (147)
Away
36.0% (50)
30.0% (140)
By Period
Armia
Zegras
P1
40.0%
33.0%
P2
33.3%
31.7%
P3
37.0%
25.6%
Final 5 min
15.0%
29.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Armia
40.0%▲
30.0%
36.8%
Zegras
16.0%▼
26.5%
30.3%