Scouting Report
Trevor Zegras holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Armia wins 32.9% vs left-shot opponents — Zegras shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Armia 36.8% vs Zegras 39.2% (-7.9%)
Offensive zone
Zegras 61.0%
Defensive zone
Armia 56.1%
Neutral zone
Armia 51.3%
Result
Trevor Zegras favored at 51.2%
48.8%
51.2%
Armia
Zegras
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Armia
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
31.6% (174)
38.6% (1,669)
-7.0%
Power Play
25.0% (8)
38.5% (148)
-13.5%
Penalty Kill
27.8% (36)
28.6% (7)
-0.8%
On power play, Zegras has a +13.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Armia is 32.9% vs left-shot opponents (155).
Armia shoots right. Zegras is 37.8% vs right-shot opponents (596).
Home / Away
Armia
Zegras
Home
32.6% (95)
39.9% (882)
Away
29.3% (123)
37.4% (942)
By Period
Armia
Zegras
P1
33.3%
40.2%
P2
30.5%
38.0%
P3
28.6%
37.7%
Final 5 min
25.0%
40.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Armia
40.0%▲
30.0%
30.7%
Zegras
16.0%▼
26.5%
38.6%