Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +8.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on neutral-zone draws (82% H2H, 11 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ek 49.7% vs Staal 57.6% (-8.4%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 17-10 in 27 meetings
Offensive zone
Ek 80.5%
Defensive zone
Ek 65.8%
Neutral zone
Ek 73.8%
Result
Joel Eriksson Ek favored at 73.4%
73.4%
26.6%
Ek
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
17
(27 meetings)
10
17
Ek
Staal
Last 10: Ek 5-5 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ek
6
2
Ek
Staal
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
2
6
Ek
Staal
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
2
9
Ek
Staal
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ek
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (1,023)
58.9% (1,096)
-11.2%
Power Play
60.2% (362)
68.4% (57)
-8.2%
Penalty Kill
41.5% (217)
51.8% (222)
-10.3%
On even strength, Staal has a +11.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Ek is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,053).
Ek shoots left. Staal is 57.4% vs left-shot opponents (986).
Home / Away
Ek
Staal
Home
48.3% (801)
57.0% (646)
Away
51.1% (801)
59.1% (729)
By Period
Ek
Staal
P1
50.2%
55.9%
P2
50.1%
55.4%
P3
49.3%
62.0%
OT
40.0%
70.4%
Final 5 min
51.5%
63.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ek
52.0%▲
46.0%
49.7%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
58.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2024 | 3 | 16:52 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 3 | 16:17 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 3 | 12:05 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 3 | 07:46 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 2 | 15:54 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 1 | 15:26 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 1 | 15:21 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 1 | 07:41 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 1 | 03:43 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 21, 2024 | 3 | 05:39 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 21, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 21, 2024 | 2 | 18:44 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 21, 2024 | 2 | 18:39 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 21, 2024 | 2 | 16:11 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Jan 21, 2024 | 2 | 16:05 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 21, 2024 | 2 | 11:31 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Jan 21, 2024 | 2 | 05:45 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Jan 21, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |