Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Ek wins 45.9% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ek 48.8% vs Staal 54.6% (-6.2%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Ek 66.0%
Defensive zone
Ek 67.8%
Neutral zone
Ek 65.0%
Result
Joel Eriksson Ek favored at 65.9%
65.9%
34.1%
Ek
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Ek
Staal
Last 10: Ek 3-7 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
2
Ek
Staal
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Ek
Staal
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
1
4
Ek
Staal
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ek
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
47.2% (815)
56.1% (955)
-8.9%
Power Play
53.8% (266)
66.9% (142)
-13.1%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (180)
43.0% (242)
+4.8%
On power play, Staal has a +13.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Ek is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (860).
Ek shoots left. Staal is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (938).
Home / Away
Ek
Staal
Home
49.9% (693)
55.4% (663)
Away
47.2% (568)
54.4% (676)
By Period
Ek
Staal
P1
46.2%
55.1%
P2
52.6%
54.7%
P3
46.5%
53.9%
OT
54.9%
70.0%
Final 5 min
44.2%
57.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ek
52.0%▲
46.0%
48.7%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 19, 2025 | 3 | 18:54 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 19, 2025 | 2 | 06:58 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 3 | 04:59 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 3 | 00:20 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 3 | 00:07 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 1 | 03:11 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 1 | 00:09 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |