Scouting Report
Nick Foligno holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Ek wins 45.9% vs left-shot opponents — Foligno shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ek 48.8% vs Foligno 49.8% (-1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ek 61.5%
Defensive zone
Foligno 55.5%
Neutral zone
Ek 53.5%
Result
Joel Eriksson Ek favored at 61.5%
61.5%
38.5%
Ek
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Ek
Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Ek
Foligno
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ek
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
47.2% (815)
49.0% (261)
-1.8%
Power Play
53.8% (266)
57.1% (42)
-3.3%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (180)
47.1% (51)
+0.7%
On power play, Foligno has a +3.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Ek is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (860).
Ek shoots left. Foligno is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (192).
Home / Away
Ek
Foligno
Home
49.9% (693)
48.9% (178)
Away
47.2% (568)
50.6% (176)
By Period
Ek
Foligno
P1
46.2%
40.4%
P2
52.6%
55.8%
P3
46.5%
51.2%
OT
54.9%
33.3%
Final 5 min
44.2%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ek
52.0%▲
46.0%
48.7%
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2026 | OT | 04:18 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Jan 27, 2026 | 2 | 03:28 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |